SimSheet

Coming soon · NFL simulation software

Every NFL game, simulated 10,000 times.

SimSheet runs each game 10,000 times and puts the sim's numbers next to the posted game lines and player prop lines: Sim vs Line, side by side. You decide how to use it.

  • Game lines: spread, total, win %
  • Player props: full distributions
  • Type any line, see P(over)
  • Public scorecard, misses included

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SAMPLE · MADE-UP NUMBERSSun · 1:00 PM ET
Canyon Coyotes20
Harbor City Sharks24
Sim projected score (fictional teams)
HCS wins 62.0% of sims
Spread · Sim vs LineHCS -4Line HCS -3
Total · Sim vs Line44.0Line 45.5
Sim Lean: HCS -3 · Confidence: 55
Sim Lean: Under 45.5 · Confidence: 56
Illustration only: fictional teams and made-up numbers, not model output. Confidence = the sim's probability of the Sim Lean side at the posted line. It is not a recommendation or a measure of expected profit.

10,000 sims per game

Each game is played out drive by drive from public data. The projected score, spread, total and win % are just what happened across the sims.

Sim vs Line

"Sim projects X, line is Y." We put the sim's numbers next to posted game lines and player prop lines, and you decide how to use them.

Honest scorecard

Every week's file is fingerprinted before kickoff and every result is graded publicly, misses included. In backtests the market line has been more accurate than the sim on win probability.